scholarly journals Multiple Equilibria of the Global Thermohaline Circulation

1991 ◽  
Vol 21 (9) ◽  
pp. 1372-1385 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jochem Marotzke ◽  
Jürgen Willebrand
2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (21) ◽  
pp. 5467-5478 ◽  
Author(s):  
Willem P. Sijp ◽  
Matthew H. England

Abstract This study shows that a reduction in vertical mixing applied inside the Atlantic basin can drastically increase North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) stability with respect to freshwater perturbations applied to the North Atlantic. This is contrary to the notion that the stability of the ocean’s thermohaline circulation simply scales with vertical mixing rates. An Antarctic Intermediate Water (AAIW) reverse cell, reliant upon upwelling of cold AAIW into the Atlantic thermocline, is found to be associated with stable states where NADW is collapsed. Transitions between NADW “on” and “off” states are characterized by interhemispheric competition between this AAIW cell and the NADW cell. In contrast to the AAIW reverse cell, NADW eventually upwells outside the Atlantic basin and is thus not as sensitive to changes in vertical mixing within the Atlantic. A reduction in vertical mixing in the Atlantic weakens the AAIW reverse cell, resulting in an enhanced stability of NADW formation. The results also suggest that the AAIW reverse cell is responsible for the stability of NADW collapsed states, and thereby plays a key role in maintaining multiple equilibria in the climate system. A global increase of vertical mixing in the model results in significantly enhanced NADW stability, as found in previous studies. However, an enhancement of vertical mixing applied only inside the Atlantic Ocean results in a reduction of NADW stability. It is concluded that the stability of NADW formation to freshwater perturbations depends critically on the basin-scale distribution of vertical mixing in the world’s oceans.


2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (13) ◽  
pp. 2403-2416 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hannah Longworth ◽  
Jochem Marotzke ◽  
Thomas F. Stocker

Abstract The implications are investigated of representing ocean gyre circulations by a diffusion term in the Stommel and Rooth box models of the thermohaline circulation (THC) in one and two hemispheres, respectively. The approach includes mostly analytical solution and study of the bifurcation structure, but also numerical integration and feedback analysis. Sufficient diffusion (gyre strength) eliminates multiple equilibria from either model, highlighting the need for accurate gyre circulation strength in general circulation models (GCMs) when considering the potential for abrupt climate change associated with THC shutdown. With diffusion, steady-state flow strength in the Rooth model depends on freshwater forcing (i.e., implied atmospheric water vapor transport) in both hemispheres, not only on that in the upwelling hemisphere, as in the nondiffusive case. With asymmetric freshwater forcing, two solutions (strong stable and weak unstable) are found with sinking in the hemisphere with stronger forcing and one solution with sinking in the other hemisphere. Under increased freshwater forcing the two solutions in the hemisphere with stronger forcing meet in a saddle-node bifurcation (if diffusion is sufficiently strong to prevent a subcritical Hopf bifurcation first), followed by flow reversal. Thus, the bifurcation structure with respect to freshwater forcing of the diffusive Rooth model of two-hemisphere THC is similar to that of the Stommel model of single-hemisphere THC, albeit with a very different dynamical interpretation. Gyre circulations stabilize high-latitude sinking in the Stommel model. In the Rooth model, gyre circulations only stabilize high-latitude sinking if the freshwater forcing is weaker in the sinking hemisphere than in the upwelling hemisphere, by an amount that increases with diffusion. The values of diffusion and freshwater forcing at which qualitative change in behavior occurs correspond to the range of the values used in and obtained with GCMs, suggesting that this analysis can provide a conceptual foundation for analyzing the stability of the interhemispheric THC, and also for the potential of the Atlantic THC to undergo abrupt change.


2007 ◽  
Vol 37 (10) ◽  
pp. 2446-2457 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yosef Ashkenazy ◽  
Eli Tziperman

Abstract The multiple equilibria of the thermohaline circulation (THC: used here in the sense of the meridional overturning circulation) as function of the surface freshwater flux has been studied intensively following a Stommel paper from 1961. It is shown here that multistability and hysteresis of the THC also exist when the wind stress amplitude is varied as a control parameter. Both the Massachusetts Institute of Technology ocean general circulation model (MITgcm) and a simple three-box model are used to study and explain different dynamical regimes of the THC and THC variability as a function of the wind stress amplitude. Starting with active winds and a thermally dominant thermohaline circulation state, the wind stress amplitude is slowly reduced to zero over a time period of ∼40 000 yr (40 kyr) and then increased again to its initial value over another ∼40 kyr. It is found that during the decreasing wind stress phase, the THC remains thermally dominant until very low wind stress amplitude at which pronounced Dansgaard–Oeschger-like THC relaxation oscillations are initiated. However, while the wind stress amplitude is increased, these relaxation oscillations are present up to significantly larger wind stress amplitude. The results of this study thus suggest that under the same wind stress amplitude, the THC can be either in a stable thermally dominant state or in a pronounced relaxation oscillations state. The simple box model analysis suggests that the observed hysteresis is due to the combination of the Stommel hysteresis and the Winton and Sarachik “deep decoupling” oscillations.


2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (12) ◽  
pp. 1957-1966 ◽  
Author(s):  
Willem P. Sijp ◽  
Matthew H. England

Abstract The role of a Southern Ocean gateway in permitting multiple equilibria of the global ocean thermohaline circulation is examined. In particular, necessary conditions for the existence of multiple equilibria are studied with a coupled climate model, wherein stable solutions are obtained for a range of bathymetries with varying Drake Passage (DP) depths. No transitions to a Northern Hemisphere (NH) overturning state are found when the Drake Passage sill is shallower than a critical depth (1100 m in the model described herein). This preference for Southern Hemisphere sinking is a result of the particularly cold conditions of the Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) formation regions compared to the NH deep-water formation zones. In a shallow or closed DP configuration, this forces an exclusive production of deep/bottom water in the Southern Hemisphere. Increasing the depth of the Drake Passage sill causes a gradual vertical decoupling in Atlantic circulation, removing the influence of AABW from the upper 2000 m of the Atlantic Ocean. When the DP is sufficiently deep, this shifts the interaction between a North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) cell and an AABW cell to an interaction between an (shallower) Antarctic Intermediate Water cell and an NADW cell. This latter situation allows transitions to a Northern Hemisphere overturning state.


1997 ◽  
Vol 349 ◽  
pp. 117-147 ◽  
Author(s):  
LAURENCE FLEURY ◽  
OLIVIER THUAL

A two-dimensional Boussinesq model of the thermohaline convection in a rectangular domain is forced at the top by a prescribed temperature and a prescribed salinity flux. The two forcings have opposite effects on the density field, which leads to the formation of fronts and multiple equilibria. Numerical results are interpreted through a comparison with the solutions of an asymptotic equation, derived in the limit of a shallow basin by Cessi & Young (1992). In order to explain the discrepancies between the numerical and the asymptotic solutions, we extend this asymptotic approach through a geometrical representation and a topological classification of the surface forcings. By comparing three forcings, we propose a global picture which gives clues to interpret the numerical solutions.


1992 ◽  
Vol 241 ◽  
pp. 291-309 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paola Cessi ◽  
W. R. Young

As a model of the thermohaline circulation of the ocean we study the two-dimensional Boussinesq equations forced by prescribing the surface temperature and the surface salinity flux. We simplify the equations of motion using an expansion based on the small aspect ratio of the domain. The result is an amplitude equation governing the evolution of the depth averaged salinity field. This amplitude equation has multiple, linearly stable equilibria. The simplified dynamics has a Lyapunov functional and this variational structure permits a simple characterization of the relative stability of the alternative steady solutions.Even when the thermal and salinity surface forcing functions are symmetric about the equator there are asymmetric solutions, representing pole to pole circulations. These asymmetric solutions are stable to small perturbations and are always found in conjunction with symmetric solutions, also stable to small perturbations. Recent numerical solutions of the full two-dimensional equations have shown very similar flow patterns.


1997 ◽  
Vol 25 ◽  
pp. 111-115 ◽  
Author(s):  
Achim Stössel

This paper investigates the long-term impact of sea ice on global climate using a global sea-ice–ocean general circulation model (OGCM). The sea-ice component involves state-of-the-art dynamics; the ocean component consists of a 3.5° × 3.5° × 11 layer primitive-equation model. Depending on the physical description of sea ice, significant changes are detected in the convective activity, in the hydrographic properties and in the thermohaline circulation of the ocean model. Most of these changes originate in the Southern Ocean, emphasizing the crucial role of sea ice in this marginally stably stratified region of the world's oceans. Specifically, if the effect of brine release is neglected, the deep layers of the Southern Ocean warm up considerably; this is associated with a weakening of the Southern Hemisphere overturning cell. The removal of the commonly used “salinity enhancement” leads to a similar effect. The deep-ocean salinity is almost unaffected in both experiments. Introducing explicit new-ice thickness growth in partially ice-covered gridcells leads to a substantial increase in convective activity, especially in the Southern Ocean, with a concomitant significant cooling and salinification of the deep ocean. Possible mechanisms for the resulting interactions between sea-ice processes and deep-ocean characteristics are suggested.


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